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geopolitics

424 markets

Politics

Will Alberta join the US?

2%
$2.2M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

2%
$843.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Sports

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

6%
$619.2K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

7%
$533.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%
$525.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

7%
$444.7K Vol.•Ends Jul 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

8%
$444.2K Vol.•Ends Apr 1, 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 20266%
September 30, 20261%
1 more
$411.8K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027
Geopolitics

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5%
$348.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

7%
$276.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%
$272.2K Vol.•Ends Sep 15, 2026
Politics

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

7%
$259.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine election held by...?

4%
$234.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%
$194.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

4%
$187.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

85%
$168.0K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

3%
$162.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

97%
$159.4K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026
Politics

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%
$159.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%
$152.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%
$149.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

2%
$149.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by...?

SSeptember 303%
DDecember 317%
$145.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Maduro guilty of all counts?

22%
$133.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2027
Politics

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

6%
$131.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 487%
September 1187%
3 more
$124.7K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026
Politics

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

12%
$124.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

September 3050%
October 3171%
2 more
$123.3K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$122.3K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

6%
$116.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

8%
$114.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%
$113.9K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%
$113.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

September 301%
December 312%
$111.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

4%
$105.8K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3164%
September 3017%
3 more
$105.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

21%
$100.6K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

7%
$100.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

15%
$100.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

8%
$95.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

3%
$93.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%
$92.0K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%
$91.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

5%
$90.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

10%
$89.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 305%
December 3122%
2 more
$84.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

5%
$80.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027