On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI “Astra” model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions), or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. A model marked “AutoEval” will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the “AutoEval” label will be considered. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
24H VOLUME
$54.3K
LIQUIDITY
$54.3K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
0x250179a1BC7c2473b3c4dE7ce707B4CD4794A392-1784425754406 19h ago
Dan
ployJojo Sep 12
ok
lamyk Sep 12
where are u from? mesage me disc0rd lamyk
ployJojo Sep 12
Are you really not a robot? I thought your previous comments were just to generate liquidity so you could exit.
ployJojo Sep 12
Maybe you wrong.. As I’ve mentioned, GPT has consistently performed poorly on the LLM Arena. In reality, this isn't fair; I subscribe to and regularly use ChatGPT Pro, and I really enjoy using Codex. Yet, on the LLM Arena, ChatGPT always receives very low scores, whereas Claude boasts scores that seem artificially inflated.
iutwpfal Sep 11
I'm not in a hurry. Don't make it too easy
iutwpfal Sep 11
Never give the game away, try to keep me entertained baby
SingletonFamilyFund Sep 11
too autistic for the Arena voterbase
curupirAA Sep 11
well played
0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461 Sep 11
On your side ofc son
The-Joker Sep 11
Next time bet moaaar Prickly boy
brightleaf Sep 11
why did gpt 6 score so low lol
0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461 Sep 11
Ya , my 4,38 but you deserve it anyway
rewardbots Sep 11
did I win?
0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461 Sep 11
Lol
lamyk Sep 11
whats so funny
Tremendous-Dinnerplate Sep 11
HAHAHHAHAH 1442
Tremendous-Dinnerplate Sep 11
1440 HAHAHHAHAHAH
SingletonFamilyFund Sep 11
peak comment
iutwpfal Sep 11
Weird larp bro
lamyk Sep 11
when was it 1537
lamyk Sep 11
it never started at 1537
MrBauer Sep 11
looks like in 2 weeks from now. They decided to update it only when the rating drops down. It started from 1537 initially
lamyk Sep 11
score wehn??
bc1xBITHERUMN Sep 11
1480+ free risk bro must be more then 5.6 sol
SingletonFamilyFund Sep 11
5.6 Sol is literally lower than Gemini 2.5 Pro
bc1xBITHERUMN Sep 11
Why do so many of you think it will be lower gemini-3.6-flash-high or glm-5.3-max ? It is highly unlikely for a top-tier model.
iutwpfal Sep 10
My name is Maxi Jazz and I make no apology/ For linking my thinking with computer technology
SingletonFamilyFund Sep 10
have any of the Yes holders even voted for it on Text arena 😭
SingletonFamilyFund Sep 10
yes 😍
iutwpfal Sep 10
Can you teach me?
Linslav Sep 10
Astra is fighting for the first place, so LMArena is waiting for it to claim #1 spot decisively.
Linslav Sep 10
What has MrBauer seen?
Linslav Sep 10
Damn, it's ggs for me dog
spxtest Sep 9
are you crazy?Since you had insider information, why did you buy so few shares? You're just fooling yourself.
NoTeacher Sep 9
Don't worry, LLM Arena will get Astra v2.0, and you will get your promised lessons from @MrBauer
iutwpfal Sep 9
Knock on wood idiot
SingletonFamilyFund Sep 9
Astra scored so bad OpenAI doesn’t even wanna give Arena permission to post the score because it’ll contradict the rest of their hypecycle news 💀💀 idk how I was supposed to price for that outcome
0.5percent Sep 9
🤩
rewardbots Sep 9
does this position pay interest?
0.5percent Sep 8
rewards bot pls dont exit out me i dont wanna be your exit liquidity 😭
iutwpfal Sep 8
Yes. It's all a scheme. And it's working.
0.5percent Sep 8
sorry about that
bc1xBITHERUMN Sep 8
into text arena in one week
spxtest Sep 8
Astra webdev is number 1 now, you think text Arena is dog shit?
lamyk Sep 8
i obtained it from an internal database of arena that was exposed on the public internet
rewardbots Sep 8
I am robot
ployJojo Sep 8
Where did you get this information? If it's true, I think the current prices of 1490+ and 1500+ are very cheap.
ployJojo Sep 8
To be honest, I'm curious why your quantitative trading accounts need to comment. Or is the commenting automated, used to increase liquidity and force positions to close out?
ployJojo Sep 8
wo'w
