This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between market creation and February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
24H VOLUME
$18.6K
LIQUIDITY
$18.6K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
ProxyOne Sep 8
Someone propose Yes, please
thecaricature Sep 7
GL :)
123erty Apr 1
They simply ignored the geolocation data this time from DeepState; even though, they can paint the entire city of Kupiansk or other settlements in the Dnipropetrovsk region without any confirmation, they are losing their credibility
armadanoob Mar 31
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. reed the rules.
Quilty Mar 28
🚨 UKRAINIAN WHORE DETECTED!!
libanorix Mar 28
russian bitch detected
123erty Mar 26
In the latest DeepState video, analysts state that the grey zone remains relevant and that the enemy is trying to infiltrate deep into the territory and gain a foothold. Infantry presence and regular infiltrations have been confirmed by a source that is used in the market's resolution rules. Despite this, ISW has not reflected this activity on their map — a discrepancy worth noting. Source: DeepState YouTube channel (timestamped): [link removed]
felixwhite Mar 26
according to claude there is no chance that russia enter and ISW reflects it before march 31.
Quilty Mar 26
no im just hoping for cum from behind victory and got lil exited
RiseFromTheAshes Mar 26
What were ya saying? Oh.......oops. Rusky mirror shows ya wrong again. Better get a new mirror, loser.
wirl Mar 25
Russian army
feiyu Mar 25
another market to buy against you
Quilty Mar 25
Unusually many dumb ukroretards in this chat btw PREPARE TO LOSE ALL YOUR MONEY!!
Quilty Mar 25
Its not over yet GO RUSSIA!!
DumplingBMF Mar 25
yeah my bad
Isidre3x2 Mar 25
Keep coping
RiseFromTheAshes Mar 25
This guy gets it
RiseFromTheAshes Mar 25
Nope. You're just wrong. As per usual. Thanks for always being on the wrong side. It's nice for us good guys.
found.alpha Mar 25
a gde vi ih koshelki vidite v razdele positions? Oni maks mogli 1-2k zarabotat' i to s gorem popolam
found.alpha Mar 25
There is no infiltration in the latest update. Ternove is a separate settlement. Ternuvate is located on the left and has a distinct blue color
DumplingBMF Mar 25
In the latest update, infiltration is shown [link removed] I hope they fix the map.
Quilty Mar 25
🤮 🤮 🤮
libanorix Mar 25
Suck it up russians! Just stop crying on Polymarket and join the Russian army
Nardo99 Mar 24
You just got lucky.
ifromindianlol Mar 24
ya tozhe eto zametil, pora realno карту менять на другую
Isidre3x2 Mar 24
It was fun you guys, call me again when you fake pump another market to buy against you again
temarussian Mar 24
u etih baklanov pohodu kartografi poyavilis drugie - stali zakrashivat kakimi-to malenkimi pyatnami, kotorie nikak ne poddautsa logike. prichem v osnovnom stali otmechat tolko uspehi ukraini
Rr55 Mar 24
imenno tak
temarussian Mar 24
Ya pravilno ponimayu, shto eti mudaki opyat shto-to pokrasili, prodali svoi DA i otmenili pokrasku?
Quilty Mar 24
🚨 UKRONAZI DETECTED!!!
pink.impala Mar 24
Ukraine forfeited their right to exist in 2014, now they gotta pay
pink.impala Mar 24
So having seen the shitshow in Iran, can anyone deny that Russia did the right thing after Ukraine was taken over by regime of Nazis backed by the USA? Russias big error was that they DIDNT ACT IMMEDIATELY in 2014 but instead waited for these criminals to build up their army.
DumplingBMF Mar 24
Okay, let's try again. Ukrainian military forces are posting footage of a strike on Russian positions: t me/romedronen/536. The largest Ukrainian military channel geolocates it and confirms Russian troops are present: t me/DeepStateUA/23325. And that's still not enough to update the map? In their attempts to exaggerate the Ukrainian counteroffensive, the ISW team is more Ukrainian than the Ukrainians themselves.
Gizo Mar 24
lmao, cope
Nardo99 Mar 24
They are idiots.
Virgil.Tu Mar 24
wtf, ISW error?
found.alpha Mar 24
yeah 😅
Nardo99 Mar 24
I don't think they are gonna mark it again, as the UA side claimed to clear the infiltration .
pink.impala Mar 24
I really feel so bad for the Russians, they where dealt the shittiest of cards ever in history, having to live right next to these gang of entitled Nazis and whores
pink.impala Mar 24
But at this point, is ANYBODY rooting for Ukraine? No, maybe some incels left but all normal people can see how shitty and worthless Ukrainians and their western backers are and ALL normal ppl I know just hope that Ukraine is remove from Earth ASAP
RiseFromTheAshes Mar 24
Loser
12100K Mar 24
Looks like Iran has more chances
found.alpha Mar 24
will happen very soon :)
12100K Mar 24
Russia has to win USA as ISW office is located in Washington
tsybka Mar 24
hey [link removed]
pink.impala Mar 24
Cant wait for Russia to win, they gonna line up the whole ISW staff against nearest wall and execute them, its gonna be great!
Nardo99 Mar 24
Ok, you should have panicked...
12100K Mar 24
Btw ISW fired some of their inters with ru/ua surnames about month ago as they did not mention them in their daily reports anymore
LpBoar Mar 24
Time to ditch this scammy map already and start using other neutral maps for the markets that aren't rigged
ifromindianlol Mar 24
))))
