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Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Tech

Eventcmtla1liz03yqmv014ghi1mxm
Closes in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

24H VOLUME

$235.6K

LIQUIDITY

$235.6K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (39)

iutwpfal Aug 16

Still angry about this bullshit clarification

PoetJekyll May 28

Additional context Updated Feb 21 Products named iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, Air, or similar variants will qualify. Products named iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, Air, or similar variants will qualify. So what are you guys betting on?🫪

Stoniye Apr 26

Please read the rules: A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

Stoniye Apr 26

Read the rules: A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

Dato7bet7 Feb 21

In this question iphone 18 pro and pro max are included? Or only 18?

rollix Feb 20

where is the word model in the rules? there is none. Nonsense is your attempt to manipulate the market.

rollix Feb 20

what do you mean by the original? Is it fake one or what?

iutwpfal Feb 20

The relationship between the original iPhone and the iPhone 18 Pro is not similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. Stop the nonsense.

iutwpfal Feb 20

Stop the nonsense, the market is about the iPhone 18 model, not *any* iPhone 18 model.

pup1 Feb 20

Pretty clear

pup1 Feb 20

Its a successor to iphone but not "the original iphone"

rollix Feb 20

The iPhone Pro is a product named 'iPhone,' and it is the successor to the original iPhone. The rules are written in black and white.

ImJustBen Feb 20

once clarification is added "Yes" is going to 90c again lmao

ImJustBen Feb 20

iPhone 18 pro is coming out, still counts as an iPhone 18 being released btw according to the rules

rollix Feb 20

so pro counts also

rollix Feb 20

it is about iphone product, not about iphone model

iutwpfal Feb 19

Yup. Same thing as the Gemini market.

iutwpfal Feb 18

I'm letting you of the hook easy at 60 ct, Klshi is trading below 50 for a similar market.

iutwpfal Feb 18

I know this one! It's iPhone 18! But not 18 Pro!

DorsetSqCap Feb 18

The more expensive iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max iPhones will launch in the fall of 2026 as usual, alongside the new foldable iPhone, but the more affordable iPhone 18 and iPhone 18e models won't come out until spring 2027. [Macrumors: [link removed]

pup1 Feb 18

successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16.

Hiworld. Feb 18

iPhone 11,iPhone 12,iPhone 13,iPhone 14,iPhone 15,iPhone 16,iPhone 17,iPhone ?

iutwpfal Feb 17

Different model: not a successor to iPhone but to iPhone pro.

iutwpfal Feb 17

I don't think iPhone 18 Pro will count.

iutwpfal Feb 17

Yeah, the thing is 'iPhone 18 pro' isn't 'a new iPhone product released without a number'.

-mp Feb 8

Please clarify the rules, is "Pro", "Air", etc. any other included as "iPhone", as they are Named iPhone...

luthfi Feb 7

The rules is ambiguous. Fix it bro

confidentavocado Jan 31

Fix the rules, the iphone 18 is realeasing in 2027

moistcookie Jan 9

a simple chatgpt search will give you the answer on this never any new iphone or similar product back to back

wheelingmatt Jan 8

but, according to what it's say, even if base is not released this year, the fact that ultra and 18 pro max are releasing this year; fulfills part of the requirements for the resolution to be yes: A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

wheelingmatt Jan 8

sometimes i feel that the rules are made by chatgpt, cause wtf is this

S888 Jan 7

Worst rules on this site ever

moistcookie Jan 7

hearing this as well

moistcookie Jan 7

Fuck i. bought thhe wrong side someone fill me plz!!!!!

MeAndMyMonkey Jan 2

yes, but read the rules. "A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product"

GEEK0 Jan 2

FORBES today: Apple Won’t Release iPhone 18 In 2026, New Report Claims

POWERSLAP-EXPERT Dec 27

This is better than holding a stock, this is a free 10%

perpcode0072nell Dec 15

it will skip the 18 like how they did the 9

ElsaBertha Dec 13

Yeah, 100%. I’m actually hearing this might be the year they finally do the "iPhone Ultra" or a foldable one to replace the Plus model. September 2026 is the date.

Yes

Potential payout$25.00