This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify. If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify. Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
24H VOLUME
$288.2K
LIQUIDITY
$288.2K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (39)
Fracker Aug 1
how has this not resolved?
enrico-vasaio Jun 27
So it's going yes unless a judge blocks it?
0xc5d4525681f0A3221279477544D47b65A1292056-1723470506152 Jun 26
I knew my mayor would deliver
iamrhado May 21
Thanks for the heads up
iamrhado May 21
the chances is going to def increase after/during the twitch session today. bank on it!
iamrhado May 21
thanks for the news
aenews2 May 8
Breaking News: Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s push to freeze rents for nearly one million New York City apartments cleared a major hurdle. - New York Times
princessbubblegum Apr 27
What happened today?
princessbubblegum Apr 23
Please no please no please no
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 24
YES is massively overvalued. Even if Mamdani freezes the rent for 1-year leases, this market resolves to NO. The market resolves to YES only if Mamdani freezes BOTH 1-year and 2-year leases, which never happens.
Sverdlov Feb 18
My haters become my waiters at the table of success
f2hf84hg52h5 Feb 8
There's no such thing as an insider here. Either the rent guidelines board will attempt to push through both a one and two year freeze, in which case there will be an immediate stay by the courts, likely through the end of the year given how slowly the court system moves, or they won't attempt to push through the two year part. There's no "insider" that is going to determine either.
0x4d74e07e3d1BC8beE7FE8ab118545a37a53904f5-1761752718693 Jan 25
you sure he is not insider ? xd
Roeman Jan 25
Bro nervous
rontro28 Jan 24
Hey guys, lets never forget: his aunt had to endure mean looks after 9/11. Tip me, if you are a Muslim. You have to, or Islam will not take the world
XiJinProfit Jan 24
Ur in trouble
Ankh-ZzQ-111 Jan 24
Anyone help me with 0.52 cent,,, thanks God bless you
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Jan 24
what if he's an insider?
vpb11 Jan 19
"NYC Mayor Mamdani hints city may seize buildings from landlords who repeatedly break housing laws-LR"
f2hf84hg52h5 Jan 8
@macrotrading, thank you for the liquidity. Best of luck at the rent guidelines board vote in May on the 2 year lease part of the bet, and not having it get stayed by the courts through the end of the year if they try ;)
overlay69 Dec 11
Please note that historically, the RGB has never voted for both 1Y/2Y rents being frozen together. When Mamdani cites DeBlasio freezing rents, he only refers to 1Y rent freezes. Two year rent freeze would be nearly impossible to attain since inflation is high, and a zero percent increase will only push real estate prices lower. Also, the previous mayor might fill the RGB with his guys, which is an added risk. Safe to say, No is a good bet. If you like this analysis, please do tip me. Thanks!
f32b1 Nov 19
me tto;
DashieLashie Nov 12
Big month for the rentoids
magicguesser69 Nov 10
easy no
trapgod Nov 7
Adams will stack the rent guidelines board before he leaves office lol
Duncum Nov 7
All the inflation will eventually fall on the tenants.
dbritva Nov 7
is that even legal?
burningpremium Nov 6
hehe mfkers. hehe
555888999 Nov 6
Thanks for the win, I earned it
6shun Nov 6
yes
TheLastAristocrat Nov 5
You will rent will not increase. Do not resist.
map823 Nov 5
he won't get ANYTHING accomplished
GaBe1411 Nov 5
Tish could fuck him over legally but other than that its a campaign promise he has executive power over. Trump will try and over rule, and Tish might support his agenda publicly. She then risks getting fired by Mamdani (who said he'd keep her on board) based on the approval figures between Tisch and Zohran. If she does this on the state level she will probably loose the appeal. If she goes with the Federal circuit and can fast track it to the SCOTUS, They would have a state rights split with his own appointees to regain legitimacy. Most likely yes but may too far out and what Tish does in here first 12 months matters. and if the MAGA-Groyper civil war gets resolved quickly.
qingwanxiaowanzi Nov 5
hello
banzhuan88 Nov 5
good day
f32b1 Nov 4
nice 1
jkds352 Nov 4
mee too
cvx2351 Nov 4
mee too
10G Nov 4
I'm a lil special
