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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

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Eventcmtla1gqd00c6mv018jhh6cut
Closes in

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

24H VOLUME

$520.5K

LIQUIDITY

$520.5K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (50)

0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-1776456987493 7h ago

She had her shot. Very unlikely she gets another. "the dems field is terrible" well you're entitled to your opinion, but I don't think the democractic voters think so. Frankly, I suspect a lot of people will be hesitant to nominate a woman again in this cycle, fair or not.

0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-1776456987493 7h ago

Kelly is still obviously underpriced at 3 cents.

MaxShorter 13h ago

I remember vividly in 21 trump odds of winning the 2024 nominee were trading below 2c. The odds off the presidency much lower Everyone thought he was done after January 6th, impossible they said . The market had fatigue and bet on desantis and Hayley. He led all the polls, market didn’t care. Then he announced, yet price barely reacted , then he beat all the cases, and they finally fell in line. Then he won it all I feel similar fatigue is present with Kamala, the market desperately want someone new but the gods won’t give it. History often doesn’t repeat but it usually rhymes

MaxShorter 13h ago

Taking a position on Kamala harris ~ 8c, got limits through 7 and will add as we get closer to 2028. Thesis: Kamala is leading on virtually every 2028 poll, market consensus is that her lead will narrow as we get closer and other nominess get exposure, but I don't think thats the case. Firstly, the dems field is terrible, the nomination is there for the taking but nobody stands out. Newsom is uninspiring, AOC is a liability, Ossoff is closest but he’s not bridging the gap enough to the left as I’d like. Secondly, Kamala has the credibility, donor machine, and is most prepared for a presidential campaign. The biggest elephant in the room is that she lost 2024 and nobody will trust her again, but she was up against the greatest political machine of our generation - MAGA. Trump will not be running in 28, the likely opp is Vance or Rubio and neither have the strength or credibility that trump did last election

mrtrump Sep 12

donors want a white male

ocpna Sep 10

AES?

crypto-basenji Sep 8

I locked in Ossof because I know how dumb are leftists and they will choose that moron

ISMS2222 Aug 31

Keep an eye on Jon Ossoff after November. • $42M Senate war chest — federal money that can potentially move into a presidential campaign after Georgia. • ~90% of his current ad budget reportedly running outside Georgia. • Spending only $5–6M/month while reportedly bringing in more than he’s spending. • Gavin Newsom can’t simply transfer his California state campaign war chest into a federal presidential campaign. • Mark Kelly sits behind Ossoff at roughly $26M in federal cash. And here’s the interesting part: 📊 Ossoff’s presidential odds relative to his Democratic-nomination odds imply roughly a 70% chance of winning the presidency IF he becomes the nominee — stronger than the comparable implied number for the other candidates. $42M. National advertising. Positive cash flow. Maybe it’s all about Georgia. Maybe.

glally Aug 29

hakeem has a chance

jstD0It Aug 28

Angela Alsobrooks

SUPERNOVA- Aug 27

Ossoff is not going to vacate his senate seat, nice idea tho

ISMS2222 Aug 26

This is my call—not Moore for president. I accumulated 300,000 Wes Moore contracts at 1.5¢, a price nobody can get anymore. My thesis is simple: I think Moore gets a major South Carolina bump, particularly with Black Democratic voters, and that puts him firmly into the national conversation. I ultimately see Jon Ossoff winning the nomination and choosing Wes Moore as his VP. To me, Ossoff–Moore would be an incredibly strong general-election ticket—geographically, generationally, and demographically. If those two end up on the same ticket, I think it’s lights out. My call: Ossoff–Moore wins the Electoral College by 80+ votes.

SUPERNOVA- Aug 26

the last few times the DNC picked a woman it went really well so it should be great with AOC

nimatinos299992 Aug 26

never say never

jimceryt999 Aug 25

or 2030? why ?

BINGOman101999 Aug 25

its joke yeap?))

glally Aug 24

wes moore will never be president

jerobmu Aug 24

AOC clear choice

ISMS2222 Aug 23

Machbut watched AOC’s bloating and egg-freezing videos and immediately decided, ‘Yep, that’s my president,’ then raced out to buy AOC shares at literally any price. 😂

TaxIsTheft Aug 21

Mark my words…

ISMS2222 Aug 20

Your logic isn’t working in Michigan, and the Democratic establishment knows the danger: if 2028 becomes Newsom vs. AOC, AOC can eat him alive from the left. California is becoming political baggage for Newsom, not an asset. I was just there last week—the homelessness, open drug use and visible disorder are impossible to ignore. That’s why Ossoff makes so much strategic sense. Democrats need someone who can compete in the South, appeal to men and moderates, energize the base, and still run credibly in the Rust Belt. If Ossoff wins Georgia convincingly in 2026, he can point to something neither Newsom nor AOC can: proof that he can win a critical presidential battleground. And the DNC’s new calendar only strengthens that argument: South Carolina goes first, with Michigan also in the early window. The establishment doesn’t necessarily have to want Ossoff today. But if their objective is winning in 2028 and building a coalition that can hold through 2032, they may ultimately conclude he’s their best bridge between the progressive base and the voters Democrats have been losing. AOC can win the activist primary. Newsom can win the donor primary. Ossoff may be the one who can win the Electoral College.

SUPERNOVA- Aug 20

AOC is unelectable and Ossoff will not vacate his senate seat - nobody wants Kamala and the rest are worthless - that leaves only one real contender who can battle the GOP and has the donor money / institutional backing to actually win the presidency

ISMS2222 Aug 20

My hunch is that the recent AOC momentum may be overstated, while sophisticated money is quietly accumulating Ossoff at lower prices. The bigger strategic question is electability: Democrats may ultimately need a candidate who can recover male voters in the South and Rust Belt. Newsom’s problem is different. In a head-to-head Democratic primary against AOC, he’d be facing a progressive movement with unusually strong grassroots organization and a highly motivated primary electorate. Traditional establishment strength doesn’t necessarily translate into beating that kind of infrastructure.

retard2 Aug 19

AOC = Marco Rubio

Saffron-rose Aug 18

ok i feed this page to claude and claude let me buy jon ossoff. but i think it's just too early to talk aout anything. i will wait till 2026 year endd.

Patz3 Aug 17

that's why he's .5%. but if he's as healthy as he is now in two years then who's to say that he can't

Vault33 Aug 17

I like Bernie alot but he is just too old at this point :(

Rayse Aug 17

The Ozempic will have slimmed him down by 2028 trust

extractive-manatee Aug 13

My mark kelly position has mooned, very nice. Still a bit odd to me that J.B. Pritzker is at 1% but perhaps he is too fat to win, kinda makes sense I guess

thedealer1 Aug 13

ouuuuu shi

jimceryt999 Aug 13

every star should be here mm???

jimceryt999 Aug 13

but hi run very slowly

bnbnbnb Aug 13

why no Taylor swift I need all in our holy mother queen taylor

Patz3 Aug 12

two best risk v reward best right now - talarico and bernie. bernie is still the leader of the movement and AOC will prefer the senate seat. talarico (thanks to mr paxton) will be able to say that if he can win TX then he can win anywhere. both are at least 2x too cheap

yen4u Aug 9

Yep, if he runs he wins. Just worried he won't wanna run

JonOssoff Aug 7

its obviously ossoff buy now when its cheap

JonOssoff Aug 7

womp womp ossoff to the moon

CKAB Aug 7

I mean, yeah? Obama was a great candidate (compared to McCain), Trump 2016 was a great candidate (compared to Hillary), and Ossoff (the handsome white guy who is still progressive and critical of Israel) will be a great candidate compared to Vance's fat mixed-race family's wall-kissing ass.

notalkletsplay Aug 6

I think all this bot support may actually hurt Ossoff's campaign. "Vote for Ossoff. Bots love him!"

EnzoTheUser Jul 31

damn man, I love your positions opened/closed Слава Україні ;)

EnzoTheUser Jul 31

ossoff bots are crazy in comments

EnzoTheUser Jul 31

who's that cupcake lol

TheShef Jul 29

You are assuming the quality of the candidate is what wins the election lmao.

Boey Jul 29

If Ossoff runs, he wins primary and general. YES holders need bro to believe in himself

CKAB Jul 27

It's going to be Ossoff, and he's also going to win in 2028 and 2032. Newsom is too compromised from CA politics and comes off like a skinwalker. AOC is a nonwhite woman. Ossoff has built in armor that protects him from the anti-Israel obsessed people on the left. Vance and Rubio are both currently sinking due to Iran, but they're also extremely unlikable and they'll both fail in 2032 as well. Obvious as hell what's going to happen, regardless of whose side you're on politically.

chikipikinss Jul 25

is already democratic??hmmmm

0xc183150c2a9067A7846469Be9E948CBc1A49dcfB-1722290192888 Jul 24

AOC is not necessary, New York is already Democratic. Same with Newsom and California, already in the BAG. THEY BRING NOTHING! THEY BOTH BRING NO NEW STATES. You know what OSSOFF brings? A SWING STATE. If he wins by 8 points and Keisha barely loses or barely wins, he will run in 2028. Y'alls calculators of the electoral maps are off. Newsom and AOC bring NOTHING.

JonOssoff Jul 24

ok who bought all the ossoff today?

EasyBirddd Jul 23

odds constantly shift but pmsignals . com knows for sure :)

UmaSucksBalls Jul 22

I mean I would goon to tv if AOC is on there more often

Gavin Newsom

Potential payout$192.31